Archive for the ‘Boxscore Games’ Category

PostHeaderIcon The All Star Fantasy Baseball Team You Could Have Drafted in 2017

Every year at the All Star Break there are players who have outperformed expectations. But has that ever been more true than it has been in 2017? Has there ever been a year before when a player who didn’t even get drafted in the first 20 rounds of most leagues may now be the number one player in all of fantasy baseball? Has there ever been another season when so many players were so far exceeding expectations? Not in recent memory.

Let’s just look at first base for example. Look at how many players are having tremendous seasons who were either not drafted or were drafted very late–players like Mark Reynolds, Justin Bour, Yonder Alonzo, Logan Morrison, Cody Bellinger, Justin Smoak, and Ryan Zimmerman. Those are 8 first basemen who are all outperforming early-round picks like Miguel Cabrera, Chris Davis, Carlos Santana, Hanley Ramirez, Eric Hosmer, and many others. There has never been another season in my memory with this many late-round surprises.

If you had only known, here is a team of 2017 All Stars you could have drafted on Opening Day. Each player is listed with his preseason Average Draft Position (ADP) just to drive home the point of how long each of them was available during your league draft:

C: Salvador Perez (151)
C: Yadier Molina (188)
1B: Ryan Zimmerman (352)
1B: Cody Bellinger (402)
2B: Jonathan Schoop (175)
2B: Josh Harrison (303)
3B: Jake Lamb (154)
3B: Mike Moustakas (213)
SS: Elvis Andrus (152)
SS: Zack Cozart (319)
OF: Marcell Ozuna (164)
OF: Aaron Judge (262)
OF: Cory Dickerson (310)
OF: Michael Conforto (312)
OF: Avisail Garcia (443)
SP: Dallas Keuchel (127)
SP: Mike Fulmer (129)
SP: Robbie Ray (197)
SP: Ervin Santana (281)
SP: Luis Severino (365)
SP: Alex Wood (378)
SP: Jason Vargas (500+)
RP: Greg Holland (226)
RP: Brandon Kintzler (256)
RP: Corey Knebel (434)

Every one of these 25 players listed above is a 2017 All Star (Andrus is a reserve), yet you could have EASILY drafted them all. In a typical 12-team league, on average, none of these All Stars was drafted in the first 10 rounds, many of them including Aaron Judge weren’t drafted in the first 20 rounds, and still others besides that weren’t drafted at all!

And this is just the tip of the iceberg. There are many, many non All Stars who could also be included in this list of top performers as well. Numerous players like Erick Thames (209), Gio Gonzalez (287), Domingo Santana (288), Chris Ownings (327), Travis Shaw (354), Cameron Maybin (357), Steven Souza (397), Andrelton Simmons (413), Scott Schebler (431), and Jimmy Nelson (500+) are all putting up numbers that are far surpassing the preseason forecasts. How many of these bargains were you smart enough to snap up?

I know every year in every league there are always sleepers who emerge. But to this degree??? No sir, not that I can ever recall. When you can draft an entire championship fantasy baseball team, without utilizing a single player who was taken in the first 10 rounds of your league draft, that’s crazy. And that’s the 2017 season.

PostHeaderIcon 2017 March Madness Survival Pool

In 2017 BoxScore Baseball ran its first ever Survival Pool for the NCAA Basketball Tournament.  With so many upsets, I began to ponder the following question:  was it even possible to survive all the way to the end this year without choosing at least one upset?

Day One was simple since nearly all of the mid-tier favorites won.  190 out of the 197 members of the pool advanced.  Basically any of the most popular picks in Day One like West Virginia, Butler, Purdue, Notre Dame, and Arizona were all fine picks since all of them won and none of them advanced to the Final Four except Gonzaga who was only chosen by 11 entries.

Day Two was a little bit more problematic.  That’s because Oregon was the second most popular pick and they ended up in the Final Four.  You also would have needed to thread of very thin needle the rest of the way if you used Baylor, the second most common pick of Day Two.  And finally, you needed to avoid another popular choice, SMU as they ended up getting upset by USC.  But many other popular picks such as UCLA, Wichita State. Louisville, Cincinnati, Rhode Island, Michigan and others were all fine favorites to choose.  Heck, as it turned out, you even could have chosen Duke or Villanova who both went out the very next round.

Day 3 the most popular pick of Florida State went down in flames, but plenty of other decent favorites like Butler, Arizona, and Purdue all turned out to be viable options.

Day 4 the most popular pick of Baylor was a good favorite to pick.  Again Oregon needed to be saved for later.  UCLA was another favorite that would have worked.  Those were the only common pick favorites you could have chosen and still made it to the end.

Day 5 the favorite to take was Kansas over Purdue if you wanted to survive all the way to the end without choosing an underdog.  Kentucky was a borderline favorite you could have chosen, as their game against UCLA was pretty much considered a toss-up game.

Day 6 the favorite you would have needed to choose was Florida.  They were slight favorites over Wisconsin and beat them in overtime at the buzzer.

Day 7 & 8 the only way to make it to day 9 without choosing an upset was to choose Gonzaga over Xavier and North Carolina over Kentucky.  Oregon and South Carolina were both underdogs.

Yes, you narrowly could have gotten to Day 9 without ever choosing an upset and you still would have had an additional team to use for Day 10, however, your streak of picking favorites would need to come to an end.  You would be forced to choose an underdog in Day 9, either Oregon or South Carolina.  And then both of them would need to win for you to have a team you could play in Day 10.  So as I analyze it, there would be no conceivable way to have made it all the way do Day 10 without picking at least one upset.

As for the two actual entrants who lasted until the Final Four, they both have just one team left.  Neither of them can advance beyond Day 9.  One of them has North Carolina left and one of them has Gonzaga left.  To reach this point, Double Plz – 2 road favorites all the way to Day 8 when they won with South Carolina over Florida.  Randy & Terrel also chose the South Carolina upset in Day 8, but more than that they also chose the enormous upset of Xavier over Arizona on Day 5.

PostHeaderIcon BoxScore Baseball Timeline

1990   First year in operation:  Prior to smartphones or even a worldwide web, owners who participated in BoxScore Baseball back in the early years reported their transactions over the telephone, tracked their team’s progress in the morning newspaper, and waited for their biweekly standings to arrive via the U.S. Mail.

1995    Ultimate Leagues:  New dynasty leagues gave owners the opportunity to manage their teams year round.

1995   BoxScore Baseball Playoff Tournament:  We ran the BoxScore Baseball Playoff Tournament during the MLB Playoffs and World Series until 2007 when we lost access to any downloadable postseason statistics.

1996   Reserve playerPrior to 1996 rosters consisted solely of 25 active players.  If a player became injured, owners had either to drop him or keep him active and receive all zeroes.

1996-97   BoxScore Basketball:  During the 1996-97 NBA season, we introduced BoxScore Basketball.  The contest never really caught on in popularity and was cancelled after just two seasons.

1998   Megabucks Leagues:  There began to be a growing desire among some owners to compete for larger cash prizes, and so Megabucks Leagues were introduced.

1999  Nowadays, with Internet being such an integral part of our fantasy baseball lives, it’s hard to believe that BoxScore Baseball was around for 9 years before it even had a homepage.

2000   Survival Game Football:  Survival Game Football was modeled after a survivor contest I used to compete in with friends during the 1980’s.

2000   Ultimate Nation:  It started to become apparent that the top Ultimate League teams had a decided advantage over non-Ultimate League teams, and so the two groups were separated for National prizes.

2002   Super Megabucks Invitational Leagues:  Requests for a big money, high roller league lead to the formation of the Super Megabucks Leagues for BoxScore Baseball’s most elite owners.

2003   OPS:   Slugging percentage was replaced by OPS as BoxScore Baseball’s sixth hitting category.

2003   BoxScore Football:  Due to the increased popularity of fantasy football, BoxScore Football Megabucks Leagues were established.

2006   September Call-Ups:  BoxScore Baseball began to allow late-season roster expansion.

2007   TQStats:  We began utilizing this online service to host our leagues. This change was an enormous upgrade for our members.  In 2009, TQStats became OnRoto, our current league host.

2008   Trading Panel:  A five-person panel was established to rule on fairness of all controversial trades.

2010   Survival Game Baseball:  A survivor contest for baseball that has steadily grown in popularity.

2012   Hall of Fame:  We established the BoxScore Baseball Hall of Fame with its original 13 inductees.  The total membership now stands at 17.

2013   Bizzaro Baseball:  BoxScore Baseball created a league where good was bad and bad was good.  Where up was down and down was up.  Under this format, Colorado pitchers were in high demand and Adam Dunn was an MVP candidate.  But after a 2-year trial run, we gave up this concept which now sits in waiting, hoping for an eventual rebirth.

2014   Daily DL Moves:  Disabled List transactions began taking effect on a daily basis.

2015   Auction Style Draft:  BoxScore Baseball conducted its first-ever online auction draft.

2017   LIVE Vegas Draft!   The commissioner and 12 long-time owners met in Las Vegas for a LIVE Super Megabucks League draft.  For many, this weekend gathering was the first chance to meet each other in person after knowing one another exclusively by phone and email for as long as 20+ years.

PostHeaderIcon BoxScore Baseball Fun Facts

First Computer: In 1989, I purchased my first computer for BoxScore Baseball. After careful deliberation, I decided to buy a computer with no hard drive inside of it because I determined that a hard drive would be an unnecessary frill.

The first MLB player ever drafted in a BoxScore Baseball draft: As unlikely as it may seem, the very first player ever drafted in a BoxScore Baseball draft was Todd Zeile taken by Andy Bylski in 1990. Originally, we used to draft by position—catchers, then first basemen, then second basemen, etc. Back then, Zeile was a very highly regarded Cardinal 3b prospect who had eligibility at catcher.

The Sporting News Fantasy Challenge: In 1993, your humble commissioner parlayed his experience with fantasy baseball into a National Championship in The Sporting News Mid-Season Baseball Challenge. Actually, I had two entries in the contest and managed to finish in first and second place nationally to earn $17,460.

BoxScore Baseball Software: A new software program to generate our biweekly reports was first created in 1994. Each time that update ran, it took 12 hours to complete. And at the end of that process if there was an error, it was 12 more hours to run it again. Today, those same reports can be generated almost instantaneously while the games are still in progress.

Ginger Lee: In 1999 BoxScore Baseball hired a professional model for its print ads for baseball and Survival Game Football

Strongest BoxScore Baseball League Ever: While admittedly highly subjective, the original Ultimate League 3 from 1998 included 12 owners who eventually combined to win a staggering 110 league pennants and 15 National Championships. The league included 5 future Hall of Fame owners. Also a member was Charlie “The Godfather” Wiegert (who later became the founder of CDM Fantasy Sports).

Most Dominate BoxScore Football Single Season: Rick Garlinghouse became the only owner in BoxScore Football history to win the championship in both BoxScore Football Leagues in the same season when he did so in 2015.

Most Consecutive National Championships Won: This untouchable record is held by Todd Lammi who won six straight National Championships between 1999 and 2004. The only other owners to ever even win two consecutive National Championships were George Caballero (’93 & ’94), Ron Bieganowski (’07 & ’08), and Gregg Janoff (’14 & ’15).

Most Consecutive Pennants Won: Between 2002 and 2008, Ron Bieganowski won seven straight pennants in the Ernie Harwell League. Todd Lammi won pennants for nine straight seasons, but those were within three different leagues.

Longest ACTIVE Pennant Winning Streaks: Tony Nosis (four straight in UL4 and three straight in UL3), Rick Garlinghouse (two straight in Super 2), John Thell (two straight in Stan Musial), and David Przybylski (two straight in Al Kaline).

League Longevity Award: Bob Wilfore and Doug Kline have been members of UL4 every year since its inception in 1998. While those 20-year streaks are impressive, there is one other streak that is even more remarkable than that. This season will mark the 27th consecutive season that Andy Bylski has been a member of the Al Kaline League.

Afghanistan Draft:  Back around the year 2000, Paul Soehnlein who was a member of the United States Army had to draft his team live from Afghanistan.  Unfortunately, the conference call draft was scheduled for the same time that Paul had scheduled a deployment.  So Paul changed the time of the mission so that he wouldn’t miss the draft.

Most Unlikely Pennant Winner: In 2011, a current owner, whose name I am withholding in order to protect his privacy, was incarcerated right before the season began. However, he was not deterred. With the help of his future wife, he still drafted his team and reported his transactions for the full season FROM JAIL. Ultimately, he won the league. True story.

Most Ultimate Leagues Pennants Won: Tony Nosis (14), Todd Lammi (11), Gerry Scotto DiMarco (10), Ken Patten (10), and Gregg Janoff (8)

Most Super Megabucks Leagues Pennants Won: Tim Grand (4), Thomas Bonds (3), William Blais (3), and Les Travis (3).

Most Total Pennants Won: Ken Patten (28), Gregg Janoff (21), Gerry Scotto DiMarco (20), Tony Nosis (16), Bob Wilfore (16), Todd Lammi (13), Ken Sommers (13), George Caballero, (11), and Thomas Bonds (10).

Youngest Member in BoxScore Baseball History: Unofficially, it is Hall of Famer Keith Nosis (son of Tony Nosis) who first joined in 1995 when he was just 15 years old.

Oldest Member in BoxScore Baseball History: As far as I can determine, it is Gene Oestricher (Greenberg) whose DOB is Feb. 4, 1934. And I believe the runner-up is Ken Patten (UL2) born on May 8, 1936. Both owners are still current members.

BoxScore Baseball’s Only Female National Champion: Back in 1990, during our initial season, BoxScore Baseball ran two trial leagues exclusively for friends. As it turned out, the two league pennant winners each ended up winning five scoring categories outright and had to be declared co-champions when they tied the last remaining category with 1118 RBI’s apiece. Interestingly, one of those two winners was Bill Philp who four years later became the best man at my wedding and the other was Lynn Schafer who later became my wife.

PostHeaderIcon Celebrating 21 Years Of BoxScore Baseball Ultimate Leagues

Back in 1995 BoxScore Baseball created its Ultimate Leagues. The purpose of these lifetime leagues was to offer owners an experience that would more closely resemble the owning and the operation of an actual Major League Baseball team.  Currently, in 2016, BoxScore Baseball hosts 5 Ultimate Leagues.  Here are 10 interesting facts about these leagues:

  1. The BoxScore Baseball owners who have won the most Ultimate League pennants in history are Tony Nosis (13), Todd Lammi (11), Gerry Scotto DiMarco (10), Ken Patten (10), Gregg Janoff (8), and Bob Wilfore (7).
  2. Currently competing in BoxScore Baseball’s Ultimate Leagues are some of its most senior members. Joining BoxScore Baseball in 1993 were Bob Wilfore (UL1, UL2, UL3, UL4, & UL5), Gregg Janoff (UL3 & UL5), Ron Pennington (UL2), and Ken Patten (UL2). Joining in 1992 was Scott Nadler (UL4 & UL5). Joining in 1991 were William Blais (UL3) and Vernon Fong (UL3). And joining in our inaugural season in 1990 was Bill Philp (UL5).
  3. The only two owners in BoxScore Baseball history to win at least one Ultimate League pennant in all 3 decades–the 90’s, the 00’s, and the 10’s–are Bob Wilfore (’99, ’03, ’06, ’07, ’08, & ’10) and Ken Patten (’96, ’97, ’00, ’01, ’02,’03, ’05, ’08, & ’11).
  4. Arguably, the most powerful Ultimate League ever assembled was the original version of UL3 drafted back in 1997. That league consisted of 5 future Hall of Famers. The owners who made up that league have thus far combined to win a staggering 15 National Championships: Charlie Wiegert (’91), Gerry Scotto DiMarco (’97), Ken Patten (’00 & ’10), Gregg Janoff (’14 & ’15), George Caballero (’93, ’94, & ’98), and Todd Lammi (’99, ’00, ’01, ’02, ’03, & ’04).
  5. Presently, there are 7 former BoxScore Baseball National Champions competing within the Ultimate Leagues. They are Gregg Janoff (’14 & ’15), Tony Nosis (’09 & ’13), Bob Wilfore (’06 & ’08), Ken Patten (’00 & ’10), Brian Scott (’13), Lance Smith (’10), and Bill Philp (’90).
  6. There are 8 current Ultimate League owners who have been Super Megabucks League champions: 3-time winner William Blais (’04, ’13, & ’14), 2-time winners Thomas Bonds (’02 &’07) and Bob Wilfore (’08 & ’13) and 1-time winners Rick Garlinghouse (’15), Scott Nadler (’12), and Paul Hachey (’11), Lance Smith (’07), Gregg Janoff (’02).
  7. Ultimate League 1 began its existence with 6 different pennant winners in its first 6 seasons. Remarkably, in the league’s 17-year history, there have only been 2 repeat winners: Gregg Janoff (’00 & ’01) and Tony Nosis (’12 & ’13).
  8. More than any other Ultimate League, UL4 has been a league of dynasties. First, it was Gerry Scotto DiMarco winning 4 straight pennants between 1998-2001. Then, it was Todd Lammi winning 5 pennants in 6 years between 2004-2009. And finally, it has been Tony Nosis who is on a current streak of winning 4 pennants in 5 years between 2011-2015.
  9. Current UL4 owners Bob Wilfore and Doug Kline have been in the league for all 19 consecutive seasons since the league’s inception.
  10. In 2015, the current owners in UL5 combined to win half (7 of 14) of all of BoxScore Baseball’s total pennants: Tony Nosis (UL1, UL3, & UL4), Miles Eikenberry (UL5), Bob MacLeod (Megabucks), John Thell (Musial), and Rick Garlinghouse (Super 2)

PostHeaderIcon Use Your Smart Phone To Dominate Your League

Most of us fantasy owners use our smartphones to manage our teams on the go. Whether it’s updating our lineup, scouring the waiver wire or digging into a pile of stats, our phones have become go-to tools for everything fantasy baseball.

There are tons of fantasy baseball apps out there and sorting through them all can be like trying to decide which left-handed middle reliever September call-up to snag. I’m here to help you get the most out of your phone when it comes to managing your fantasy baseball team. Here are five apps I have on my smartphone that I use for managing my many fantasy baseball teams.

Fantasy Alarm
Fantasy Alarm instantly notifies you if one of your players is a late scratch from a lineup or if a game has been delayed or rained out. This app was the recipient of the “Best Mobile App” award in 2013 by the Fantasy Sports Trade Association and was also the winner of the 2014 “Most Innovative Product or Service” award. Sports Geekery talks more about this app. At-Bat
Paul Macchia of Verizon Wireless shares his favorite baseball apps and among them is’s At-Bat. This app allows you to follow the action of your players while you’re on the go as you monitor your superstar’s at-bats pitch-by-pitch in real time. You can even watch’s featured game of the day for free on your phone or tune into the home or away broadcast of any other game.

Home Run Weather
This app provides up-to-the-minute weather reports on everything that alters the flight of a baseball: temperature, atmospheric pressure, humidity, field orientation, wind direction and speed. Basically, the app determines if the weather conditions for any particular game are favorable for fly balls carrying over the fence. The Washington Post wrote a fascinating piece about this app and all of its components.

Fantasy Assistant
Every General Manager needs an Assistant GM at their side. Enter your roster at Fantasy Assistant and the service will analyze your team’s strengths and weaknesses, suggest possible trade scenarios, and project your team’s success. Fantasy sports blogger David Gonos lists this app as one of his fantasy football favorites and the app also works for baseball.

Bill James Baseball IQ
Bill James brought sabermetrics to big league franchises and now the notorious baseball statistician has brought his knowledge to your smartphone. James, whose statistical study of baseball was the basis for the hit book and movie Moneyball, provides statistical breakdowns that run deeper than any other app out there. With this app you can find such specific information including how often a player pops out on full-count fastballs. Fantasy baseball is all about finding an edge and if there’s an edge to be found, this is a good place to look. Knot of Light provides a more detailed review of this app.

Smartphone apps are a great tool for staying on top of your fantasy teams and are sure to help separate you from the pack.

–This article was submitted to BoxScore Baseball by guest blogger, Jared Harris. Jared is a fantasy baseball junkie and blogger from Tacoma, Washington who has visited 29 different major league ballparks and 41 minor league stadiums.

PostHeaderIcon Records Were Made To Be Broken

Ted Williams had his .406 batting average. Joe DiMaggio had his 56-game hitting streak. These are a couple of Major League Baseball’s timeless records. BoxScore Baseball also has single-season records that have withstood the test of time. On the back cover of our Owners Manual are our all-time record holders for our 11 statistical categories. Somewhat remarkably, none of these records have fallen in 8 years. Records may have been made to be broken, but in the case of these records that has not proven to be the case in a very long time.

Like the record book for Major League Baseball, the record book for BoxScore Baseball has been somewhat tarnished by performance enhancement drugs. The explosion of offensive numbers in the 90’s and early 2000’s caused the establishment of records that will probably never be broken. In 2000 the Diamond Gems owned by Todd Lammi had a batting average of .310 while scoring 1564 runs. Todd Lammi also built an Ultimate League powerhouse in 2004, the Gingerbread Men, that had an OPS of .894. And in 1999 the Vikings owned by Carl Isackson and Rick Nelson hit 476 home runs and had 1660 runs batted in. In the past dozen years, no team has really even come close to surpassing any of these records.

In 1992 the North Coast Kilbanes owned by Michael Hannum set the record for steals with 394. That record has now stood for 21 years and with the lack of running in today’s baseball I don’t see that record ever falling either.

As far as the pitching records, in 2005 the Splendid Splinters owned by Bob Macleod set the record for Wins with 149. In 1998 Aces of Clubs owned by Todd Lammi set the record for strikeouts with 1852. And in 1998 E.R.A.C. owned by Al Dubiel set the record for saves with 201.

To break the record for wins an owner would need his 10 pitchers to average 15 wins apiece. To break the strikeout record an owner would need his 10 pitchers to average over 180 strikeouts apiece. This is the reason I consider these 2 records to also be untouchable, just like all of the offensive records.

To break the saves record, assuming an owner had 4 closers, those closers would need to average over 50 saves apiece. Based on those numbers this record also seems safe, unless at some point some owner gets the notion to draft 6+ closers just to get his name in the record book. I doubt that will ever happen, but because it conceivably COULD happen, I am not willing to classify this record as unattainable like I would with the others previously mentioned.

In 2004 Shelby’s owned by Joe Gentry set the record for net wins with a mark of +75. That is just a ridiculously high number. Can you imagine a team with a pitching staff that was 75 games over .500? In 2013, no team in BoxScore Baseball was even 50 games over .500 and that was with Max Scherzer being +18 all by himself. This record also seems unreachable; however, since it did happen once it is not out of the question that it could happen again. There have been no rule changes in Major League Baseball that make it impossible to achieve. So while I am saying it is unlikely to ever be broken, I will not say it is impossible.

In 1992 Kenneth Porter’s Yankee squad set the ERA record at 2.68. This record has stood as long or longer than any of the other record in the history of BoxScore Baseball. But shockingly this is the record I am going to predict is the most likely to fall. If an owner stacks his team with the right group of pitchers I believe this record is breakable.

There are currently 9 ML pitchers who have made at least 3 starts and still have an ERA of under 2.00. And there are 12 pitchers who have made at least 2 starts who still have an ERA under 1.00. Leading the way is Yu Darvisch who has made 2 starts and is yet to give up a single earned run. I believe the pendulum in MLB has swung back towards pitching.

In BoxScore Baseball Team Cream owned by Malcom Kneen (and drafted by Scott Nadler) currently has an ERA of 1.61. I realize we are still only in April, but with a staff headed by Darvisch, Felix Hernandez, Gio Gonzalez, and Jose Fernandez, this is the kind of a team I could see making a run at the ERA record. I am not predicting this team will break the record, but I do feel like this team or a team like it could possibly do it.

Looking at all these numbers more closely, it becomes clearer why these records have stood for so long. Perhaps none of BoxScore Baseball’s current records will ever be broken. After all, none of them have been broken since back in 2005. True, 2.676 is a very low ERA. True, 21 years is a very long time for a record to stand. But if any of these records are ever to be broken, the ERA mark is the one I feel is the most attainable. It will be interesting to watch.

PostHeaderIcon Who Will Be The Chris Davis Of 2014?

Chances are if you were fortunate enough to draft Chris Davis in 2013, your fantasy team had a pretty good season. It was certainly the case in BoxScore Baseball where owners such as Brian Scott won the national championship with Chris Davis performing prominently on his squad. The thing that was so valuable about Chris Davis was the fact that he put up the numbers of a first round draft pick while being drafted in about the 15th round. Seemingly out of nowhere he amassed 53 homers, 103 runs, and 138 RBI’s. So this prompted me to consider who could be the Chris Davis of 2014?

Admittedly, there is an excellent chance that there will be no player who bursts onto the scene in 2014 who profiles similarly to the way Chris Davis profiled in 2013. Probably the Chris Davis of 2012 was Mike Trout. Trout was another player who put up first round numbers despite being drafted after the 15th round. But Trout burst onto the scene as a rookie. That’s different from what Chris Davis did. And this is not an attempt to evaluate which rookies may make a huge impact in 2014. You can find a million articles written on that topic. This analysis is an attempt to evaluate which player, who profiles similarly to Davis, could potentially produce a 50-home run season in 2014.

In order to do this, I looked for players similar to the Chris Davis of 2012 in terms of statistics, experience, and age. First, in terms of statistics, the following were the numbers for Chris Davis in 2012:

Runs: 75, HRs: 33, RBI: 85, K: 169, BA: .270

Some players I eliminated because they are not true sleepers the way Davis was in 2013. I only considered players who are currently being drafted in the 10th round or later. Adam Jones had 33 home runs last season, but he is a legitimate first round pick already. Evan Longoria had 32 home runs, but he certainly doesn’t qualify as a sleeper. Neither does Justin Upton who had 27 dingers. Jay Bruce who hit 30 home runs is borderline. If he comes out and hits 53 home runs in 2014 that would certainly qualify as a surprise. But I still don’t consider him to be a true sleeper. Any on these four players could put up huge numbers in 2014, but if they do it will not be a shock similar to how it was with Davis.

Other players I looked at who had similar statistics to what Davis had in 2012 I eliminated because of a difference in their age or experience. Last season Davis was entering his 5th season in the big leagues and was 27 years old. Adam Dunn had 34 home runs last season, but he’s entering his 13th season. Ryan Zimmerman had 26 home runs, but he’s entering his 9th season. Brandon Moss has 30 homers but he’s 30 years old. So none of them very closely mirror Chris Davis in terms of age and/or experience.

What I was left with were 3 players who I feel have the best chance to be the Chris Davis of 2014. All 3 of them are entering their 4th season in the big leagues, similar to Davis who was entering his 5th season. Take a look at their statistics compared to Davis’ 2012 stats. Without being prejudiced by their names, which player do you feel is most similar statistically to Davis of 2012?

C. Davis (27 yo) Runs 75, HR 33, RBI 85, K 169, BA .270
Player A (27 yo) Runs 70, HR 36, RBI 100, K 186, BA .233
Player B (28 yo) Runs 85, HR 34, RBI 100, K 184, BA .234
Player C (26 yo) Runs 83, HR 27, RBI 83, K 97, BA .272

Player C is Dominic Brown. His batting average, runs, and RBI’s most closely resemble Chris Davis of anyone in this However, his strike out rate is much lower. Also, he only hit 27 home runs. That’s significantly less than the 33 that Davis hit. Therefore, I am predicting it is highly unlikely Dominic Brown will jump to the 50 home run level in 2014.

Player A and Player B are so statistically similar that you could almost flip a coin to choose which one is the most likely to be the next Chris Davis. Like Davis they both hit 30+ homers. They both strike out a ton. They both are very close to him in terms of age and experience. Where they don’t resemble Davis is in batting averages where they both hit significantly lower than Davis’ .270 mark. However, keep in mind back as recently as 2010 Chris Davis batted just .192. So Chris Davis is certainly no stranger to a low batting average either.

Player A is Pedro Alvarez. Player B is Mark Trumbo. Honestly, I don’t have either of them rated very highly on my draft board because they strike out so much. However, I didn’t have Chris Davis rated very highly on my draft board last season for the very same reason. So actually my lack of faith in these 2 players gives me even more reason to believe that one of them could well be the next Chris Davis.

Will it happen? Probably not. But if it does, remember where you heard it first.

PostHeaderIcon BoxScore Football Goes 2-QB

In 2012, there were approximately 12 quarterbacks who scored more fantasy points than Adrian Peterson did. Yet in 2013, Adrian Peterson is projected to be drafted ahead of all of those quarterbacks. Why is this? Well, the main reason is because the gap between the highest drafted active running back and the lowest drafted active running back is much greater than the gap between the highest drafted active QB and the lowest drafted active QB.

There is one simple way to elevate the value of QBs to the level of RBs: allow teams to carry 2 active QBs. Suddenly, when a 12-team league has 24 active QBs, the gap between the best and worst active QBs becomes very similar the gap between the best and worst active RBs.

Initially, I was opposed to the idea of teams having 2 active QBs. Somehow it just seemed wrong to me since teams in real life football team’s only have 1 active QB on the field. But the arguments in favor of going to a 2-QB system started to make sense to me. After all, the object of fantasy football is not to mirror NFL football exactly. The object of fantasy football is to create a fun game. If the object were to mirror NFL football we wouldn’t award points for yardage and receptions and sacks and countless other categories that don’t result in points in an actual NFL game.

The one fear I had was that the league may run out of quarterbacks. In a 12-team league we would drafting 36 quarterbacks. Since there are only 32 NFL teams, some BoxScore teams would not even have 3 quarterbacks on their rosters with starting jobs. With bye weeks and injuries this could cause major problems.

To deal with this potential problem, BoxScore Football is creating a super flex position. A super flex player may be either a quarterback or a running back or a wide receiver. Teams will be forced to activate one super flex player each week. I’m sure that over 90% of the time the active super flex players teams will be utilizing to will be quarterbacks. However, in the rare instances when a team is either unable or unwilling to do so, it will also be legal for them to activate an additional running back or wide receiver.

I am expecting the super flex position to add a great deal of strategy to our contest in 2013, especially during the draft. There are several good articles about this topic all over the Internet I welcome you to read. 2-QB leagues appear to be the wave of the future and BoxScore Football is climbing onboard.

PostHeaderIcon Bizarro Baseball

BoxScore Baseball is preparing to launch a brand new fantasy baseball contest called Bizarro Baseball. In this league, up will be down, right will be wrong, and good will be bad. The object of this contest will be to draft and to maintain the absolute worst fantasy baseball team possible!

Imagine a league where Colorado pitchers such as Jonathan Sanchez are drafted in the first round. Imagine a league where Adam Dunn is highly rated not because of his 41 home runs, but rather because of his .205 batting average and his 200+ strikeouts.

The scoring categories for this proposed league are not yet set in stone, but we are leaning towards:

For Hitters: Batting Average, OPS, Outs, Strikeouts, Caught Stealing, & Errors

For Pitchers: ERA, Winning Percentage, Losses, Hits + Walks, & Earned Runs

To be clear, hitters scoring the highest would have the LOWEST batting average, the LOWEST OPS, the MOST outs made, etc. And pitchers scoring the highest would have the HIGHEST ERA, the LOWEST winning percentage, the MOST losses, etc. Other categeries such as GIDP (grounded into double plays) and Blown Saves are still under consideration.

We will use mostly counting categories rather than percentage categories in order to prevent the use of inactive players from becoming a viable strategy. The only way to compete in these counting categories will be to have players who play regularly. That will be the challenge–to find players who play poorly on a regular basis!

Looking at who some of the productive Bizzaro players have been in 2012, how about Nick Blackburn of the Twins with his 4-9 record combined with a 7.39 ERA and 1.71 Whip in 98.2 innings of work? He could be the Justin Verlander of Bizarro Baseball. Among the hitters, the Bizzaro Rookie Of The Year is probably Dee Gordon who is among the league leaders in CS and errors while possessing a woeful .228 BA and a pathetic .563 OPS in over 300 ABs.

Other Bizarro Baseball notables in 2012:
C: Saltalamacchia (.225 BA, 135 K), Buck, Martin, McCann, Olivo, Soto, Rosario
1b: C. Pena (.200 BA, 179 K), Hosmer, Smoak, Dunn, Kotchman, I. Davis, C. Davis, Howard
2b: Andino (.211 BA, 100 K), Espinoza, Ackley, K. Johnson, R. Weeks, J. Weeks, Uggla
3b: P. Alvarez (176 K, 26 E), Reynolds, Ransom, H. Ramirez, R. Roberts
ss: Castro (13 CS, 25 E), B. Ryan, Barmes, Cozart, Pennington, Peralta
OF: Bay (.158 BA, .527 OPS), Schafer, Francoeur, Granderson, BJ Upton, Stubbs, Rasmus
P: Romero, Jimenez, Aceves, Noesi, Wolf, Beckett, Hochevar, Liriano, Volstad, Humber, Tomlin, Francis

Our first inclination is to run this a “fun” league–at least for the first year–with maybe a $20 entry fee and $1 transaction fees. Or this could be run as a big money league if there was a group of owners wanting to do that instead. Anyone interested in participating in such a league should please contact BoxScore Baseball LLC.